Compare Financing

Solar Financing Comparison

Compare the true cost of cash purchase, solar loan, lease, and PPA over 25 years — including Section 48E ITC eligibility for third-party-owned systems.

Urgent tax credit deadlines

  • Section 48E phase-out completes December 31, 2027 — projects must be placed in service by then (515 days left).
See the full deadline tracker

Data verified June 2026 — see our tax credit accuracy standards.

Cash / Loan — Post-25D Reality

Section 25D (the residential solar ITC) expired December 31, 2025 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). Cash and loan buyers in 2026 receive $0 in federal tax credits and pay the full system price. State and local incentives may still apply.

Lease / PPA — Section 48E Passthrough

Section 48E provided a 30% federal credit for qualifying clean energy projects that began construction before July 4, 2026 (IRS Notice 2025-42). That construction-start deadline has now passed, so new lease/PPA/ESA projects no longer receive 48E passthrough — only grandfathered projects (construction begun by that date) still benefit via lower monthly payments or $0 down. The trade-off: you don't own the system.

The 2026 financing inversion

As of January 1, 2026, the federal residential credit (25D) has ended — cash and loan buyers receive 0% federal credit. Lease/PPA providers COULD retain up to 30% via Section 48E and pass part through — but the construction-start deadline expired July 4, 2026 (IRS Notice 2025-42), so only grandfathered projects (construction begun by that date) still benefit. New lease/PPA projects no longer receive 48E passthrough.Read the full inversion analysis →

New

25D vs 48E Quick Comparison

See the post-25D reality side-by-side. Numbers update live as you type — no submit button.

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Used to contextualize your annual energy spend.

Cash/Loan uses the term & APR. Lease/PPA uses the escalator. Both paths update together.

Cash / Loan (Post-25D)

You own the system · no federal credit

System Cost
Federal Tax Credit
$0 (25D expired)
Down Payment
$0
Monthly Payment
Year 1 Total
20-Year Total Cost
20-Yr NPV Cost
Ownership
✅ You own it
Maintenance
Your responsibility
Federal Credit Benefit
❌ None

Lease / PPA (48E Passthrough)

Third-party owned · 48E deadline passed (no credit for new projects)

System Cost
Federal Tax Credit
Down Payment
$0
Monthly Payment
Year 1 Total
20-Year Total Cost
20-Yr NPV Cost
Ownership
❌ Third-party owned
Maintenance
✅ Covered by provider
Federal Credit Benefit
⚠️ None (deadline passed)

Bottom line: In this scenario, lease/PPA runs about $ less in the first year than cash/loan — but you won't own the system. Note: the Section 48E construction-start deadline expired July 4, 2026 (IRS Notice 2025-42), so new lease/PPA projects no longer receive 48E passthrough; the figures above exclude 48E. Cash/loan builds equity but costs full price since 25D expired.

System Details

Leave blank to estimate from system size

Enter your system size and ZIP code to compare cash, loan, lease, and PPA financing side-by-side.

Estimates are based on national averages and state-level data. Actual costs vary by installer, equipment, and local conditions. Section 48E ITC eligibility for third-party systems assumes construction began before July 4, 2026 (a Saturday; under IRC 7503, weekend federal tax deadlines roll to the next business day — now passed) and FEOC-compliant equipment. State incentives based on DSIRE data as of May 2026.

2026 Market Shift

2026 financing inversion: why lease/PPA now undercuts cash

Source: Solar Brief financing analysis (2026) · SEIA Q1 2026 US Solar Market Insight. The numbers below are why the calculator above keeps showing lease/PPA ahead of cash in 2026.

Lease / PPA (California)

$0.18–$0.22/kWh

Effective rate after 48E passthrough

Cash purchase

~14 yr payback

No 25D credit — full system cost on the homeowner

The mechanism: 48E tax credit passthrough to lease/PPA customers

Section 25D (the residential credit cash buyers used) expired December 31, 2025. Section 48E survived under the OBBBA — but only Third-Party Ownership providers (leases and PPAs) could monetize it, and only for projects that began construction before July 4, 2026 (IRS Notice 2025-42). That construction-start deadline has now passed, so new lease/PPA projects no longer capture a 48E credit to pass through; only grandfathered projects still reflect the lower effective rate. Cash buyers, with no 25D to offset the upfront cost, carry the full price. Review the July 4, 2026 construction-start deadline →

Read both sides. Lease/PPA wins on effective rate in 2026, but homeowner sentiment (Reddit r/solarenergy community thread (2026)) repeatedly flags lease/PPA contract complexity and confusion — escalators, buyout terms, and home-sale transfer rules can erode the headline advantage. Decode any contract before signing. See the full 2026 market context →

Written & reviewed by

Jeremy Wolfe — Senior Solar Energy Analyst

Jeremy Wolfe is a solar energy analyst specializing in residential photovoltaic economics, federal and state incentive policy, and return-on-investment modeling for homeowners. He leads EnergyTools' solar research program and methodology.

  • 10+ years analyzing residential solar economics and payback modeling
  • Lead researcher for EnergyTools' 50-state solar cost-per-watt database
  • Author of 100+ solar ROI, payback, and incentive analyses

Methodology & data sources:NREL PVWatts, EPA FuelEconomy.gov, state utility commissions— updated 2026.