Solar Financing Comparison
Compare the true cost of cash purchase, solar loan, lease, and PPA over 25 years — including Section 48E ITC eligibility for third-party-owned systems.
Urgent tax credit deadlines
- Section 48E phase-out completes December 31, 2027 — projects must be placed in service by then (515 days left).
Data verified June 2026 — see our tax credit accuracy standards.
Cash / Loan — Post-25D Reality
Section 25D (the residential solar ITC) expired December 31, 2025 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). Cash and loan buyers in 2026 receive $0 in federal tax credits and pay the full system price. State and local incentives may still apply.
Lease / PPA — Section 48E Passthrough
Section 48E provided a 30% federal credit for qualifying clean energy projects that began construction before July 4, 2026 (IRS Notice 2025-42). That construction-start deadline has now passed, so new lease/PPA/ESA projects no longer receive 48E passthrough — only grandfathered projects (construction begun by that date) still benefit via lower monthly payments or $0 down. The trade-off: you don't own the system.
The 2026 financing inversion
As of January 1, 2026, the federal residential credit (25D) has ended — cash and loan buyers receive 0% federal credit. Lease/PPA providers COULD retain up to 30% via Section 48E and pass part through — but the construction-start deadline expired July 4, 2026 (IRS Notice 2025-42), so only grandfathered projects (construction begun by that date) still benefit. New lease/PPA projects no longer receive 48E passthrough.Read the full inversion analysis →
25D vs 48E Quick Comparison
See the post-25D reality side-by-side. Numbers update live as you type — no submit button.
Used to contextualize your annual energy spend.
Cash/Loan uses the term & APR. Lease/PPA uses the escalator. Both paths update together.
Local incentives may further reduce costs.
Cash / Loan (Post-25D)
You own the system · no federal credit
- System Cost
- —
- Federal Tax Credit
- $0 (25D expired)
- Down Payment
- $0
- Monthly Payment
- —
- Year 1 Total
- —
- 20-Year Total Cost
- —
- 20-Yr NPV Cost
- —
- Ownership
- ✅ You own it
- Maintenance
- Your responsibility
- Federal Credit Benefit
- ❌ None
Lease / PPA (48E Passthrough)
Third-party owned · 48E deadline passed (no credit for new projects)
- System Cost
- —
- Federal Tax Credit
- —
- Down Payment
- $0
- Monthly Payment
- —
- Year 1 Total
- —
- 20-Year Total Cost
- —
- 20-Yr NPV Cost
- —
- Ownership
- ❌ Third-party owned
- Maintenance
- ✅ Covered by provider
- Federal Credit Benefit
- ⚠️ None (deadline passed)
Bottom line: In this scenario, lease/PPA runs about $— less in the first year than cash/loan — but you won't own the system. Note: the Section 48E construction-start deadline expired July 4, 2026 (IRS Notice 2025-42), so new lease/PPA projects no longer receive 48E passthrough; the figures above exclude 48E. Cash/loan builds equity but costs full price since 25D expired.
System Details
Leave blank to estimate from system size
System Overview
25-Year Cost Comparison
Cash Purchase
Best ValuePay upfront — maximum long-term savings
- Upfront Cost
- —
- Federal ITC
- $0
- State Incentives
- —
- Net Cost
- —
- Effective $/W
- —
- 25-Yr Value
- —
Solar Loan
Best Value7.0% APR · 20 yr
- Down Payment
- —
- Monthly Payment
- —
- Total Interest
- —
- Total Loan Cost
- —
- Federal ITC
- $0
- 25-Yr Value
- —
Solar Lease
Best Value$0 down · you don't own the system
- Upfront Cost
- $0
- Initial Monthly
- —
- Escalator
- —
- 25-Yr Total Cost
- —
- §48E ITC
- —
- 25-Yr Value
- —
PPA
Best ValuePay per kWh · you don't own the system
- Upfront Cost
- $0
- Initial Monthly
- —
- PPA Rate
- —
- 25-Yr Total Cost
- —
- §48E ITC
- —
- 25-Yr Value
- —
Cumulative Cost Over 25 Years
| Year | Cash | Loan | Lease | PPA | No Solar |
|---|
Cash Purchase & Solar Loan
The residential solar tax credit (Section 25D) expired on December 31, 2025. Homeowners who purchase their systems in 2026 receive $0 in federal tax credits.
Lease & PPA (Third-Party Owned)
Third-party-owned systems may qualify for the Section 48E investment tax credit. The credit goes to the system owner (lessor/PPA provider), not the homeowner, but is typically reflected in lower payments.
State Incentives Applied
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Estimates are based on national averages and state-level data. Actual costs vary by installer, equipment, and local conditions. Section 48E ITC eligibility for third-party systems assumes construction began before July 4, 2026 (a Saturday; under IRC 7503, weekend federal tax deadlines roll to the next business day — now passed) and FEOC-compliant equipment. State incentives based on DSIRE data as of May 2026.
2026 financing inversion: why lease/PPA now undercuts cash
Source: Solar Brief financing analysis (2026) · SEIA Q1 2026 US Solar Market Insight. The numbers below are why the calculator above keeps showing lease/PPA ahead of cash in 2026.
Lease / PPA (California)
$0.18–$0.22/kWh
Effective rate after 48E passthrough
Cash purchase
~14 yr payback
No 25D credit — full system cost on the homeowner
The mechanism: 48E tax credit passthrough to lease/PPA customers
Section 25D (the residential credit cash buyers used) expired December 31, 2025. Section 48E survived under the OBBBA — but only Third-Party Ownership providers (leases and PPAs) could monetize it, and only for projects that began construction before July 4, 2026 (IRS Notice 2025-42). That construction-start deadline has now passed, so new lease/PPA projects no longer capture a 48E credit to pass through; only grandfathered projects still reflect the lower effective rate. Cash buyers, with no 25D to offset the upfront cost, carry the full price. Review the July 4, 2026 construction-start deadline →
Read both sides. Lease/PPA wins on effective rate in 2026, but homeowner sentiment (Reddit r/solarenergy community thread (2026)) repeatedly flags lease/PPA contract complexity and confusion — escalators, buyout terms, and home-sale transfer rules can erode the headline advantage. Decode any contract before signing. See the full 2026 market context →